Market insights

Regular commentary and analysis on European energy markets by Inercomp’s experts

Load profiles

Why absolute extrapolation can distort offers

16.06.2026 • 7 min read

Historical load-profile costs are a useful basis for offers. Problems arise when profile value and balancing energy costs are simply carried forward as fixed €/MWh values, even though the market price level changes.

The analysis uses a concrete example to show why load-profile costs should be viewed relative to the market price and how the forward curve helps reduce avoidable calculation errors.

EU gas storage

Why winter 2026/27 could bring price risk again

21.05.2026 • 6 min read

Europe entered the injection season on 1 April with storage levels of around 29% - the lowest level since 2022. At the same time, tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are affecting LNG availability, while Asian demand is rising again.

We modeled three scenarios to assess what this could mean for winter 2026/27 and why the central risk is price rather than physical supply.

Storage level in April 2027

Market commentary

Every month: what’s happening, what it means, and what comes next

30.06.2026 • 7 min read

Extreme heat is widening the gap between midday lows and evening price peaks, exposing the growing need for flexibility, storage and smarter load response.

02.06.2026 • 8 min read

Negative spot prices from PV surpluses, unusually high power prices due to low wind output, and the question of what is structural and what is more weather-driven.

30.04.2026 • 7 min read

Easing after the Iran conflict, new support frameworks for industry, and the broader question of how Europe is dealing with persistent fossil cost pressure.